Near-term impact of COVID-19 pandemic on seniors' crash size and severity.

Recent research revealed that COVID-19 pandemic was associated with noticeable changes in travel demand, traffic volumes, and traffic safety measures. Despite the reduction of traffic volumes across the US, several recent studies indicated that crash rates increased across different states during COVID-19 pandemic. Although some recent studies have focused on examining the changes in traffic conditions and crash rates before and during the pandemic, not enough research has been conducted to identify risk factors to crash severity. Even the limited research addressing the contributing factors to crash severity were focused on the pool category of drivers and no insight is available regarding older drivers, one of the most vulnerable groups to traffic collision and coronavirus. Moreover, these studies investigated the early impact of the COVID-19 pandemic mostly using up to three months of data. However, near-term and long-term effects of the COVID-19 pandemic are still unknown on traffic collisions. Therefore, this study aims to contribute to the literature by studying the near-term impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on crash size and severity among older drivers. To this end, a relatively large sample of crash data with senior drivers at fault was obtained and analyzed. To identify the main contributing factors affecting crash outcomes, Exploratory Factor Analysis was conducted on a high-dimension data set to identify potential latent factors which were validated through Confirmatory Factor Analysis. After that, Structural Equation Modeling technique was performed to examine the associations among the identified independent latent factors and the dependent variable. Additionally, SEM model identified the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on seniors' crash severity. The findings reveal that several latent variables were the significant predictors of crash severity of older drivers including "Driving maneuver & crash location", "Road features and traffic control devices", "Driver condition & behavior", "Road geometric characteristics", "Crash time and lighting", and "Road class" latent factors. The binary variable of "Pandemic" was found to be as highly significant as the last four latent factors mentioned above. This means not only were older drivers more likely to be involved in higher crash size with higher severity level during the pandemic period, but also "Pandemic" was a risk factor to seniors as much as "Driver condition & behavior", "Road geometric characteristics", "Crash time & lighting", and "Road class" factors. The results of this study provide useful insights that may improve road safety among senior drivers during pandemic periods like COVID-19.

Senior Americans' perceptions, attitudes, and safety concerns toward Autonomous Vehicles (AVs).

INTRODUCTION: Autonomous vehicles (AVs) are considered a promising solution to improve seniors' safety and mobility. However, to transition to fully automated transportation, especially among seniors, it is vital to assess their perception and attitude toward AVs. This paper investigates seniors' perceptions and attitudes to a wide range of AV options from the perspective of pedestrians and users in general, as well as during and after the COVID-19 pandemic. Underlying this objective is to examine older pedestrians' safety perceptions and behaviors at crosswalks in the presence of AVs. METHOD: A national survey collected data from a sample of 1,000 senior Americans. Using Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Cluster Analysis, three clusters of seniors were identified with different demographic characteristics, perceptions, and attitudes toward AVs. RESULTS: PCA findings revealed that "risky pedestrian crossing behavior," "cautious pedestrian crossing behavior in the presence of AVs," "positive perception and attitude toward shared AVs," and "demographic characteristics" were the main components explaining most of the variation within the data, respectively. The PCA factor scores were used in the cluster analysis, which resulted in the identification of three distinctive groups of seniors. Cluster one included individuals with lower demographic scores and a negative perception and attitude toward AVs from the perspective of users and pedestrians. Clusters two and three included individuals with higher demographic scores. Cluster two included individuals with a positive perception toward shared AVs from the user perspective, but a negative attitude toward pedestrian-AV interaction. Cluster three included those with a negative perception toward shared AVs but a somewhat positive attitude toward pedestrian-AV interaction. The findings of this study provide valuable insights to transportation authorities, AV manufacturers, and researchers regarding older American's perception and attitude toward AVs as well as their willingness to pay and use Advanced Vehicle Technologies.